English Arabic Armenian Azerbaijani Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Czech Danish Dutch Estonian Filipino Finnish French Galician Georgian German Greek Hindi Hungarian Icelandic Indonesian Italian Japanese Korean Latvian Lithuanian Malay Maltese Norwegian Persian Polish Portuguese Russian Slovak Slovenian Spanish Swedish Thai Turkish Ukrainian Vietnamese

Insurgent disrupter main risk for business in 2016

LONDON: January 20, 2016. Control Risks, a consultancy that helps organizations manage risk and recognize opportunities, says business and politics now face increasing “insurgency” - a common challenge that is capable of rapidly upsetting the status quo.

In its 2016 ‘Risk Map’ survey of the year ahead, company CEO Richard Fenning notes that this new insurgent model – “makeshift, audacious and willing to seek out unconventional funding” – applies as much to Libyan militia gangs as it does to Palo Alto start-ups.

Yemen WFP“Beware the disrupter who is handed the reins of power” he declares, citing the example of Russian president Vladimir Putin: “Russian foreign policy has been built on a strategy of disruption – a skillful ability to unsettle the West in eastern Ukraine, Crimea and Syria with the aim of restoring Russia’s international prestige. 

“Nobody should underestimate the ability of Putin and foreign minister Sergei Lavrov to continue to outmaneuver their opponents in this game of geopolitical chess, or the amount of genuine sentiment that underpins their domestic support” says Fenning, who nevertheless warns that at the current price of oil, Russia’s reliance on a hydrocarbon-based economy cannot be ignored forever.

He claims another disrupter is prime minister of India Narendra Modi who, he says, must live up to his promise to change the way the country is governed: “Having swept to power with his own brand of Gujarati radicalism on a wave of iconoclastic popular support that shattered the Congress-dominated consensus, he now faces the same popular intolerance of inaction that he exploited so cleverly in opposition,” observes Fenning.

But behind the ego and ideology, the latest Control Risks report suggests the biggest potential disrupter this year is another financial crisis triggered by any combination of the end of cheap money, the migration (or another) EU crisis, or a Chinese hard landing. “The prospect of a repeat variation of 2008 may only be lurking in the shadows, [but] the prospect of presidents Barack Obama, Xi Jinping and Putin coming together to avert financial peril seems sadly remote,” the company adds.

Despite the dire possibilities Fenning concludes: “Each year we are at pains to emphasize that, for all the apparent insecurity that surrounds us (Yemen/WFP above), the world remains full of promise for the well-prepared investor. Risk is a necessary precondition for opportunity, and 2016 will be no exception.”

News

Written on 17/11/2017, 21:43
decathlon-takes-to-the-railsDOURGES, France: November 16, 2017. Maersk Line and Damco, subsidiaries of A.P. Møller – Mærsk, have completed their first block train from Wuhan, China...
Written on 16/11/2017, 18:06
mia-director-resignsMIAMI: November 14, 2017. Miami-Dade County Aviation Department director and CEO Emilio González, the driving force behind much of Miami International...
Written on 14/11/2017, 20:26
truck-manufacturers-face-class-action-lawsuitLONDON: November 14, 2017. UK law firm Collyer Bristow has established a £100 million class action for truck operators that may have been overcharged by...
Written on 14/11/2017, 17:03
finland-opens-new-rail-route-to-chinaKOUVOLA, Finland. November 12, 2017. A new weekly rail service between Northern Europe and China launched on November 10 as the first train with 41...
Written on 10/11/2017, 20:10
imd-acknowledges-family-business-excellenceGRAN CANARIA, Canary Islands: November 10, 2017. Swiss business school IMD has recognized global brand management company Pentland Group with its 22nd...
Written on 08/11/2017, 22:02
how-much-carbon-risk-in-us-355-billionLONDON: November 08, 2017. The Carbon War Room (CWR), founded in 2009 by Richard Branson and others to advance the low carbon economy, is calling for the...
Written on 07/11/2017, 19:59
costa-rica-signs-biofuel-deal-with-klmAMSTERDAM: November 07, 2017. As delegates to the 2017 UN Climate Change Conference (COP 23) meet in Bonn this week, KLM and the government of Costa Rica...
Written on 06/11/2017, 02:27
qatar-airways-takes-cathay-pacific-stakeHONG KONG/DOHA: November 06, 2017. Qatar Airways is buying 9.6 percent of Cathay Pacific Airways (CX) for HK$5.16 billion (US$661 million). The shares...
Written on 03/11/2017, 15:09
slower-airfreight-growth-in-2018-says-iataGENEVA: November 01, 2017. IATA reports a 9.2 percent increase in flown freight in September 2017 compared to the same month last year as capacity rose...
Written on 01/11/2017, 19:42
heathrow-misery-must-end-say-forwardersLONDON: November 01, 2017. The head of the UK's freight forwarder association says his members "want action, not words" to resolve congestion at...
Written on 30/10/2017, 21:03
china-s-one-belt-one-road-gets-new-rail-linkBAKU, Azerbaijan: October 30, 2017. The Baku-Tbilisi-Kars (BTK) railway connecting Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey has opened following the completion of a...
Written on 29/10/2017, 19:47
dp-world-to-support-us-500-billion-saudi-projectRIYADH, Saudia Arabia: October 26, 2017. Speaking at the Future Investment Initiative this week, DP World chairman and CEO Sultan Ahmed Bin Sulayem...
Written on 27/10/2017, 20:40
deutsche-post-dhl-delivers-unity-symbol-ahead-of-climate-conferenceBONN: October 26, 2017. As the official logistics partner for the UN Climate Change Conference (COP23) in Bonn next month, Deutsche Post DHL has shipped a...
Written on 26/10/2017, 19:41
change-of-chairs-at-tiacaMIAMI: October 26, 2017. The Board of the International Air Cargo Association has appointed Jan de Rijk Logistics CEO Sebastiaan Scholte its new chairman...
Written on 26/10/2017, 16:06
amazon-to-launch-keyless-home-deliverySEATTLE: October 25, 2017. Amazon will launch its 'Amazon Key' home delivery service for Prime members in 37 U.S. cities on November 08 at a one-time cost...
Written on 25/10/2017, 20:52
delta-introduces-a350-capacity-as-pharma-growth-continuesATLANTA: October 25, 2017. Delta Air Lines is to launch its A350-900 aircraft on flights from Detroit to Tokyo-Narita on October 30 followed by services...
Written on 20/10/2017, 20:31
cma-cgm-members-add-intra-asia-capacitySINGAPORE: October 20, 2017. CMA CGM Group subsidiaries APL and Cheng Lie Navigation (CNC) have launched a new Korea China Straits (KCS) box service...
Written on 19/10/2017, 21:13
britain-requires-new-aviation-strategy-with-or-without-brexitLONDON: October 18, 2017. The Manchester Airports Group (MAG), owner of Manchester, London Stansted and the airfreight-focused East Midlands Airport, has...
Written on 18/10/2017, 20:06
airlines-increase-support-for-endangered-speciesDOHA: October 18, 2017. Qatar Airways has joined Airlines for America, Delta, Emirates, IATA, Kenya Airways and United in the USAID Reducing Opportunities...
Written on 17/10/2017, 20:05
britain-should-remain-in-the-eu-says-oecdLONDON: October 17, 2017. In its latest survey of the UK economy the OECD says the positive impact on growth "would be significant should Britain remain...

- powered by Quickchilli.com -