English Arabic Armenian Azerbaijani Chinese (Simplified) Chinese (Traditional) Czech Danish Dutch Estonian Filipino Finnish French Galician Georgian German Greek Hindi Hungarian Icelandic Indonesian Italian Japanese Korean Latvian Lithuanian Malay Maltese Norwegian Persian Polish Portuguese Russian Slovak Slovenian Spanish Swedish Thai Turkish Ukrainian Vietnamese

U.S. can expect a "bumpy ride" in 2014

WASHINGTON D.C.: U.S. GDP growth has not yet translated into an increase in freight volume according to the January 2014 CASS freight index.

Report author Rosalyn Wilson says there are additional signs of a sluggish turnaround: The Institute for Supply Management's purchasing index (PMI) fell for a second month from 56.5 in December to 51.3 in January; there was a 13.2 point drop in the new orders index, the largest drop in new orders in 33 years; and China's PMI also declined and now sits at 50.5, just 0.5 points 
above the 50 point mark indicating growth or contraction.

Wilson adds that new U.S. export orders fell from 49.8 to 49.3 during the month while imports have also slowed – not good news for a freight industry already hit by bad weather during January.

AmericanAirlines737800newlivery-copyInternational trade data released this week by the U.S. Department of Commerce show that exports reached $2.3 trillion in 2013, up nearly $700 billion since 2009. The U.S. trade deficit improved $63.1 billion from the past year to $471.5 billion, the lowest since 2009. Merchandise exports to the 20 economies that have trade agreements with the United States reached a record $732.0 billion.

While Wilson acknowledges that many observers think the U.S. economy will gain momentum in 2014, she's not so optimistic: "There are still some strong headwinds to overcome in the freight sector, the most obvious of which being the nearly imperceptible growth in volumes."

Despite Commerce Department statistics, she says the global marketplace remains weak and U.S. exports are lagging expectations. While unemployment level continue to fall to an official 6.7 percent – the lowest since October 2008 - she thinks the level of new jobs created each month is not enough to sustain the economy.

"As the Federal Reserve reduces its bond purchases, interest rates will continue to rise. This will have repercussions in the freight sector. The inventory levels that are now higher than those during 2009, when carrying costs were minimal, will become more burdensome and will probably lead to a drawdown similar to what we saw during the recession."

Wilson says obtaining credit to purchase new vehicles will become more difficult this year, "probably squeezing out smaller and marginal trucking companies that don't have the capital to expand their fleet or ‐ almost as important ‐ modernize their fleets. Continue to expect a bumpy ride."

 

News

Written on 22/02/2018, 19:42
infrastructure-improvements-not-rocket-science-says-iataNEW YORK, NY: February 22, 2018. IATA director general and CEO Alexandre de Juniac says the U.S. government should get out of the business of running...
Written on 22/02/2018, 17:40
top-employer-dhl-opens-new-brussels-hubBRUSSELS: February 22, 2018. DHL Express has a new €140 million, 36,500 sq.mt. regional hub at Brussels Airport that can handle 42,000 shipments an...
Written on 22/02/2018, 16:10
record-year-for-rockfordROCKFORD, IL. February 21, 2018. The Chicago Rockford International Airport (RFD) has reported a 50 percent increase in landed cargo in 2017 to reach a...
Written on 22/02/2018, 15:44
brussels-levies-395-million-fine-on-maritime-car-carriersBRUSSELS: February 21, 2018. The European Commission (EC) has levied fines totaling €546 million on four maritime car carriers and three major car parts...
Written on 15/02/2018, 17:39
first-uae-built-satellite-nears-launch-dateDUBAI: February 15, 2018. The first satellite developed and built at the Mohammed Bin Rashid Space Centre (MBRSC) by Emirati engineers has been flown to...
Written on 14/02/2018, 22:30
saudi-arabia-and-uae-provide-mobile-lift-for-yemen-aid-programSANA'A, Yemen. February 12, 2018. Prior to disbursing US$1.0 billion in humanitarian aid to Yemen next month, Saudi Arabia and the UAE recently arranged...
Written on 14/02/2018, 16:09
master-showjumpers-travel-in-styleHONG KONG: February 14, 2018. The latest Longines Masters equestrian event ended last weekend with a Grand Prix win by France's Patrice Delaveau on his...
Written on 12/02/2018, 18:37
humanitarian-logistics-databank-launchedDUBAI: February 11, 2018. The Humanitarian Logistics Databank, an information-sharing platform for aid agencies, has been launched by Princess Haya bint...
Written on 10/02/2018, 23:29
gac-to-manage-yamal-lng-icebreaker-fleetSABETTA PORT, Russia. February 09, 2018. The Yamal LNG gas project has appointed GAC Russia to manage its fleet of icebreaker tankers at Sabetta for the...
Written on 09/02/2018, 18:26
drones-about-to-take-off-in-singaporeSINGAPORE: February 07, 2018. Airbus has partnered with the Civil Aviation Authority of Singapore and Singapore Post to test its Skyways package delivery...
Written on 06/02/2018, 15:55
singapore-tops-new-belt-road-indexSINGAPORE: February 05, 2018. According to an index of real estate prospects in 67 countries along China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI), Singapore,...
Written on 04/02/2018, 21:56
record-profit-for-amazon-undermines-the-need-for-tax-breaksWASHINGTON, DC: February 01, 2018. A report from the U.S. Economic Policy Institute (EPI) concludes Amazon fulfillment centers do not boost overall...
Written on 04/02/2018, 21:27
tiaca-adopts-new-vision-with-makeoverMIAMI: January 31, 2018. The International Air Cargo Association has announced a new vision that includes more training and consultancy projects to ensure...
Written on 04/02/2018, 20:26
cartel-members-fined-169-millionLUXEMBOURG: February 01, 2018. The Court of Justice of the European Union has upheld €169 million in fines originally imposed by the European Commission...
Written on 01/02/2018, 20:16
iata-confirms-a-record-year-for-air-cargoGENEVA: January 29, 2018. IATA reports a 9.0 percent year-on-year increase in freight tonne-kilometers (FTKs) in 2017, noting it was the strongest...
Written on 28/01/2018, 18:01
us-4-5-trillion-circular-economy-goes-mainstreamDAVOS, Switzerland: January 24, 2018. BMW has joined 29 major corporations with collective annual revenues of US$1.3 trillion in supporting a circular...
Written on 27/01/2018, 01:21
low-marks-for-russian-corporate-transparencyMOSCOW: January 25, 2018. Transparency International (TI) Russia has published a first-ever study on the financial transparency of 200 Russian companies...
Written on 27/01/2018, 00:09
boeing-loses-bombardier-anti-dumping-caseWASHINGTON, DC: January 26, 2018. In a blow to the Trump administration and Boeing, the U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) has ruled unanimously...
Written on 26/01/2018, 21:28
ndia-s-gst-expected-to-reduce-tax-ratesKUWAIT CITY: January 25, 2018. According to the latest survey of global logistics executives by Agility, India's GDP is accelerating again after early...
Written on 23/01/2018, 20:30
logistics-industry-optimism-for-emerging-marketsBAAR, Switzerland: January 22, 2018. Emerging markets have ignored growing populism in the U.S. and parts of Europe to "look brighter than they have in...

- powered by Quickchilli.com -